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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

Vale Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reading Win

25%

Port Vale

4.05

23%

Draw

4.39

52%

Reading

1.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Port Vale xG

Total xG

3.04

1.84

Reading xG

25%
23%
52%
Port ValeDrawReading

4.05

25%

Home win

4.39

23%

Draw

1.91

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

16%

Port Vale

6.33

30%

Reading

3.32

Win to Nil

4%

Port Vale

25.60

16%

Reading

6.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 8.8 8.1 5.0 2.3 0.8
1 5.7 10.5 9.7 6.0 2.8 1.0
2 3.4 6.3 5.8 3.6 1.7 0.6
3 1.4 2.5 2.3 1.4 0.7 0.2
4 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.199
λ Away (xG) 1.845
Total xG 3.044
League avg home goals 1.420
League avg away goals 1.128
Port Vale attack strength 0.784
Port Vale defence strength 1.264
Reading attack strength 1.294
Reading defence strength 1.078
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 78