Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

15:00

Venue

Vale Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lincoln Win

17%

Port Vale

6.04

28%

Draw

3.54

55%

Lincoln

1.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

19.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.1%

Draw

0 – 2

13.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.60

Port Vale xG

Total xG

1.96

1.35

Lincoln xG

17%
28%
55%
Port ValeDrawLincoln

6.04

17%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

1.81

55%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.98

66%

BTTS No

1.51

Clean Sheet

26%

Port Vale

3.88

55%

Lincoln

1.83

Win to Nil

4%

Port Vale

23.40

30%

Lincoln

3.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.1 19.1 13.0 5.9 2.0 0.5
1 8.5 11.5 7.8 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 2.6 3.5 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
3 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.603
λ Away (xG) 1.355
Total xG 1.958
League avg home goals 1.359
League avg away goals 1.177
Port Vale attack strength 0.573
Port Vale defence strength 0.868
Lincoln attack strength 1.325
Lincoln defence strength 0.774
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 91