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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Thu 7 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Vale Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Port Vale Win

44%

Port Vale

2.30

27%

Draw

3.76

30%

Cardiff

3.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Port Vale xG

Total xG

2.51

1.11

Cardiff xG

44%
27%
30%
Port ValeDrawCardiff

2.30

44%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

3.35

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

33%

Port Vale

3.03

25%

Cardiff

4.05

Win to Nil

14%

Port Vale

6.96

7%

Cardiff

13.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 9.0 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.4 12.6 7.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 8.8 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.7 4.1 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.398
λ Away (xG) 1.109
Total xG 2.507
League avg home goals 1.399
League avg away goals 1.134
Port Vale attack strength 0.869
Port Vale defence strength 1.150
Cardiff attack strength 0.850
Cardiff defence strength 1.150
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 1 / 1