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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Home Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Plymouth Win

40%

Plymouth

2.52

26%

Draw

3.80

34%

Wigan

2.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Plymouth xG

Total xG

2.60

1.24

Wigan xG

40%
26%
34%
PlymouthDrawWigan

2.52

40%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

2.94

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

29%

Plymouth

3.46

26%

Wigan

3.89

Win to Nil

11%

Plymouth

8.72

9%

Wigan

11.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 9.2 5.7 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.1 12.5 7.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.9 8.5 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.1 3.9 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.359
λ Away (xG) 1.240
Total xG 2.599
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.118
Plymouth attack strength 0.825
Plymouth defence strength 1.180
Wigan attack strength 0.940
Wigan defence strength 1.208
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 10 / 56