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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 24 Jan 2026

12:30

Venue

Home Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Luton Win

35%

Plymouth

2.89

26%

Draw

3.84

39%

Luton

2.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Plymouth xG

Total xG

2.65

1.38

Luton xG

35%
26%
39%
PlymouthDrawLuton

2.89

35%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

2.54

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

25%

Plymouth

3.96

28%

Luton

3.57

Win to Nil

9%

Plymouth

11.46

11%

Luton

9.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 9.7 6.7 3.1 1.1 0.3
1 9.0 12.4 8.5 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.7 7.9 5.4 2.5 0.9 0.2
3 2.4 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.272
λ Away (xG) 1.376
Total xG 2.648
League avg home goals 1.378
League avg away goals 1.097
Plymouth attack strength 0.782
Plymouth defence strength 1.289
Luton attack strength 0.973
Luton defence strength 1.180
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 26