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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Mon 29 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Weston Homes Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Peterborough Win

40%

Peterborough

2.51

26%

Draw

3.84

34%

Reading

2.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Peterborough xG

Total xG

2.64

1.26

Reading xG

40%
26%
34%
PeterboroughDrawReading

2.51

40%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

2.93

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

28%

Peterborough

3.53

25%

Reading

3.99

Win to Nil

11%

Peterborough

8.87

9%

Reading

11.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 9.0 5.6 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 9.8 12.4 7.8 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.8 8.6 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.1 4.0 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.384
λ Away (xG) 1.261
Total xG 2.645
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.149
Peterborough attack strength 1.045
Peterborough defence strength 0.886
Reading attack strength 1.239
Reading defence strength 0.986
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67