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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

12:30

Venue

Weston Homes Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Peterborough Win

51%

Peterborough

1.97

25%

Draw

4.01

24%

Luton

4.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Peterborough xG

Total xG

2.63

1.03

Luton xG

51%
25%
24%
PeterboroughDrawLuton

1.97

51%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

4.13

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

36%

Peterborough

2.79

20%

Luton

4.98

Win to Nil

18%

Peterborough

5.49

5%

Luton

20.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.4 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.6 11.9 6.1 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.5 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.0 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.605
λ Away (xG) 1.026
Total xG 2.631
League avg home goals 1.365
League avg away goals 1.108
Peterborough attack strength 1.022
Peterborough defence strength 1.089
Luton attack strength 0.850
Luton defence strength 1.150
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 47 / 1