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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Tue 21 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Weston Homes Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Peterborough Win

44%

Peterborough

2.27

25%

Draw

4.07

31%

Exeter City

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Peterborough xG

Total xG

3.02

1.37

Exeter City xG

44%
25%
31%
PeterboroughDrawExeter City

2.27

44%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.54

Clean Sheet

26%

Peterborough

3.92

19%

Exeter City

5.23

Win to Nil

11%

Peterborough

8.91

6%

Exeter City

16.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 6.7 4.6 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 8.1 11.0 7.5 3.4 1.2 0.3
2 6.7 9.1 6.2 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 3.7 5.0 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.5 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.654
λ Away (xG) 1.366
Total xG 3.020
League avg home goals 1.260
League avg away goals 1.170
Peterborough attack strength 1.211
Peterborough defence strength 1.396
Exeter City attack strength 0.837
Exeter City defence strength 1.084
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71