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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 42

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Sixfields Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reading Win

30%

Northampton

3.37

26%

Draw

3.87

45%

Reading

2.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Northampton xG

Total xG

2.63

1.47

Reading xG

30%
26%
45%
NorthamptonDrawReading

3.37

30%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

2.25

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

23%

Northampton

4.36

32%

Reading

3.17

Win to Nil

7%

Northampton

14.72

14%

Reading

7.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 10.7 7.9 3.9 1.4 0.4
1 8.3 12.3 9.1 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 4.8 7.1 5.2 2.6 0.9 0.3
3 1.8 2.7 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.153
λ Away (xG) 1.473
Total xG 2.626
League avg home goals 1.272
League avg away goals 1.135
Northampton attack strength 0.751
Northampton defence strength 1.259
Reading attack strength 1.031
Reading defence strength 1.207
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 87 / 87