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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Tue 19 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Sixfields Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Northampton Win

41%

Northampton

2.44

32%

Draw

3.16

27%

Lincoln

3.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Northampton xG

Total xG

2.16

0.95

Lincoln xG

41%
32%
27%
NorthamptonDrawLincoln

2.44

41%

Home win

3.16

32%

Draw

3.64

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

39%

Northampton

2.58

30%

Lincoln

3.37

Win to Nil

16%

Northampton

6.30

8%

Lincoln

12.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 10.9 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.0 13.2 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.5 8.0 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.4 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.214
λ Away (xG) 0.947
Total xG 2.161
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.087
Northampton attack strength 0.801
Northampton defence strength 0.956
Lincoln attack strength 0.911
Lincoln defence strength 1.091
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49