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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Sixfields Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Northampton Win

36%

Northampton

2.75

31%

Draw

3.21

32%

Lincoln

3.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Northampton xG

Total xG

2.10

1.01

Lincoln xG

36%
31%
32%
NorthamptonDrawLincoln

2.75

36%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

3.08

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

36%

Northampton

2.75

34%

Lincoln

2.97

Win to Nil

13%

Northampton

7.55

11%

Lincoln

9.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 12.4 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.3 13.5 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.3 7.3 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.6 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.088
λ Away (xG) 1.011
Total xG 2.099
League avg home goals 1.248
League avg away goals 1.151
Northampton attack strength 0.810
Northampton defence strength 1.157
Lincoln attack strength 0.759
Lincoln defence strength 1.077
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71