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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Sixfields Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

33%

Northampton

2.99

34%

Draw

2.94

33%

Exeter City

3.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

18.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.6%

Home win

0 – 1

15.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.86

Northampton xG

Total xG

1.70

0.84

Exeter City xG

33%
34%
33%
NorthamptonDrawExeter City

2.99

33%

Home win

2.94

34%

Draw

3.07

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

51%

Over 1.5

1.96

49%

Under 1.5

2.04

24%

Over 2.5

4.17

76%

Under 2.5

1.32

9%

Over 3.5

11.11

91%

Under 3.5

1.10

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

33%

BTTS Yes

3.04

67%

BTTS No

1.49

Clean Sheet

43%

Northampton

2.33

42%

Exeter City

2.36

Win to Nil

14%

Northampton

6.96

14%

Exeter City

7.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.2 15.4 6.5 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 15.6 13.2 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 6.7 5.7 2.4 0.7 0.1
3 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.2
4 0.4 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.860
λ Away (xG) 0.844
Total xG 1.704
League avg home goals 1.306
League avg away goals 1.083
Northampton attack strength 0.716
Northampton defence strength 0.947
Exeter City attack strength 0.823
Exeter City defence strength 0.919
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50