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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Northampton Win
48%
2.06
28%
3.52
23%
4.31
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.5%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
0 – 0
10.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.38
Northampton xG
Total xG
2.25
0.87
Bristol Rovers xG
NorthamptonDrawBristol Rovers
2.06
48%
Home win
3.52
28%
Draw
4.31
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
66%
Over 1.5
1.52
34%
Under 1.5
2.94
39%
Over 2.5
2.56
61%
Under 2.5
1.64
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.27
56%
BTTS No
1.79
Clean Sheet
42%
2.39
25%
3.99
Win to Nil
20%
4.93
6%
17.20
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.5 | 9.1 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 14.5 | 12.6 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.0 | 8.7 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.383
λ Away (xG)
0.870
Total xG
2.253
League avg home goals
1.282
League avg away goals
1.190
Northampton attack strength
0.799
Northampton defence strength
1.172
Bristol Rovers attack strength
0.624
Bristol Rovers defence strength
1.350
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
77 / 77