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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Tue 28 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Sixfields Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barnsley Win

26%

Northampton

3.78

24%

Draw

4.14

49%

Barnsley

2.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Northampton xG

Total xG

2.84

1.68

Barnsley xG

26%
24%
49%
NorthamptonDrawBarnsley

3.78

26%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

2.02

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

19%

Northampton

5.37

31%

Barnsley

3.20

Win to Nil

5%

Northampton

20.29

15%

Barnsley

6.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 9.8 8.2 4.6 1.9 0.6
1 6.8 11.4 9.6 5.4 2.2 0.8
2 3.9 6.6 5.6 3.1 1.3 0.4
3 1.5 2.6 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.164
λ Away (xG) 1.680
Total xG 2.844
League avg home goals 1.372
League avg away goals 1.181
Northampton attack strength 0.749
Northampton defence strength 1.368
Barnsley attack strength 1.040
Barnsley defence strength 1.133
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 90 / 90