Mansfield Town vs Huddersfield – Predictions
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🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates Mansfield Town's attack at 0.81x the league average against Huddersfield's defence at 0.83x — combine the two and it projects 0.89 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Huddersfield's attack versus Mansfield Town's defence, projects 1.31 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 16/17 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.6% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-1 (12.9%), 0-0 (12.8%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 40% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Huddersfield Win
25%
3.95
28%
3.53
46%
2.16
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.6%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
0 – 0
11.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.89
Mansfield Town xG
Total xG
2.19
1.31
Huddersfield xG
3.95
25%
Home win
3.53
28%
Draw
2.16
46%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.33
57%
BTTS No
1.75
Clean Sheet
27%
3.70
41%
2.43
Win to Nil
7%
14.61
19%
5.23
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.2 | 14.6 | 9.5 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.9 | 12.9 | 8.4 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 4.4 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Mansfield Town vs Huddersfield?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.6%.
How many goals are Mansfield Town and Huddersfield expected to score?
The model projects 0.89 expected goals for Mansfield Town and 1.31 for Huddersfield, a combined total of 2.19.
How confident is the prediction model for Mansfield Town vs Huddersfield?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 46%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.