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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Tue 19 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Kenilworth Road

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Luton Win

38%

Luton

2.66

34%

Draw

2.95

29%

Wigan

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Luton xG

Total xG

1.93

0.88

Wigan xG

38%
34%
29%
LutonDrawWigan

2.66

38%

Home win

2.95

34%

Draw

3.51

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.55

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

42%

Luton

2.41

35%

Wigan

2.85

Win to Nil

16%

Luton

6.41

10%

Wigan

10.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.5 12.8 5.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 15.3 13.4 5.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 8.0 7.0 3.1 0.9 0.2
3 2.8 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.049
λ Away (xG) 0.879
Total xG 1.928
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.087
Luton attack strength 0.828
Luton defence strength 0.994
Wigan attack strength 0.814
Wigan defence strength 0.912
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 49