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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Luton Win
38%
2.61
33%
3.04
29%
3.48
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
16.9%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
16.5%
Home win
0 – 1
13.5%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.98
Luton xG
Total xG
1.78
0.80
Port Vale xG
LutonDrawPort Vale
2.61
38%
Home win
3.04
33%
Draw
3.48
29%
Away win
Goals Markets
53%
Over 1.5
1.89
47%
Under 1.5
2.13
26%
Over 2.5
3.85
74%
Under 2.5
1.35
11%
Over 3.5
9.09
89%
Under 3.5
1.12
3%
Over 4.5
33.33
97%
Under 4.5
1.03
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
34%
BTTS Yes
2.91
66%
BTTS No
1.52
Clean Sheet
45%
2.23
38%
2.66
Win to Nil
17%
5.81
11%
9.26
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.9 | 13.5 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 16.5 | 13.2 | 5.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 8.1 | 6.5 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.978
λ Away (xG)
0.802
Total xG
1.780
League avg home goals
1.236
League avg away goals
1.085
Luton attack strength
0.748
Luton defence strength
1.038
Port Vale attack strength
0.712
Port Vale defence strength
1.059
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
19 / 18