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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Luton Win
54%
1.86
27%
3.73
19%
5.15
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.1%
Draw
2 – 0
11.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.45
Luton xG
Total xG
2.21
0.75
Plymouth xG
LutonDrawPlymouth
1.86
54%
Home win
3.73
27%
Draw
5.15
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.47
59%
BTTS No
1.68
Clean Sheet
47%
2.12
23%
4.27
Win to Nil
25%
3.95
5%
22.01
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.0 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 16.0 | 12.1 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.6 | 8.8 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.452
λ Away (xG)
0.753
Total xG
2.205
League avg home goals
1.419
League avg away goals
1.025
Luton attack strength
0.695
Luton defence strength
0.933
Plymouth attack strength
0.787
Plymouth defence strength
1.472
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
6 / 7