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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 41

Kick-off

Fri 3 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Kenilworth Road

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Luton Win

45%

Luton

2.22

25%

Draw

4.05

30%

Peterborough

3.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Luton xG

Total xG

2.84

1.26

Peterborough xG

45%
25%
30%
LutonDrawPeterborough

2.22

45%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

3.30

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

28%

Luton

3.51

21%

Peterborough

4.87

Win to Nil

13%

Luton

7.82

6%

Peterborough

16.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 7.3 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 9.2 11.6 7.3 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.3 9.2 5.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.9 4.9 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.583
λ Away (xG) 1.257
Total xG 2.840
League avg home goals 1.420
League avg away goals 1.122
Luton attack strength 1.088
Luton defence strength 1.143
Peterborough attack strength 0.980
Peterborough defence strength 1.025
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 84