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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Luton Win
61%
1.63
22%
4.58
17%
5.94
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
11.8%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
11.2%
Home win
1 – 1
10.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.90
Luton xG
Total xG
2.77
0.88
Northampton xG
LutonDrawNorthampton
1.63
61%
Home win
4.58
22%
Draw
5.94
17%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.01
50%
BTTS No
1.99
Clean Sheet
42%
2.41
15%
6.67
Win to Nil
25%
3.92
3%
39.58
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 11.8 | 10.4 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.2 | 9.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 7.1 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.897
λ Away (xG)
0.878
Total xG
2.775
League avg home goals
1.396
League avg away goals
1.107
Luton attack strength
1.102
Luton defence strength
1.139
Northampton attack strength
0.696
Northampton defence strength
1.233
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
41 / 87