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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Kenilworth Road

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Luton Win

42%

Luton

2.36

27%

Draw

3.74

31%

Lincoln

3.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Luton xG

Total xG

2.50

1.13

Lincoln xG

42%
27%
31%
LutonDrawLincoln

2.36

42%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

3.24

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

32%

Luton

3.10

25%

Lincoln

3.96

Win to Nil

14%

Luton

7.29

8%

Lincoln

12.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 9.2 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.2 12.7 7.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 8.7 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.5 4.0 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.375
λ Away (xG) 1.130
Total xG 2.505
League avg home goals 1.358
League avg away goals 1.102
Luton attack strength 1.113
Luton defence strength 0.956
Lincoln attack strength 1.072
Lincoln defence strength 0.909
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 71