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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 5 Sep 2026

15:00

Venue

Kenilworth Road

Competition

League One

England

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Luton Win

47%

Luton

2.12

25%

Draw

4.01

28%

Leyton Orient

3.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Luton xG

Total xG

2.74

1.16

Leyton Orient xG

47%
25%
28%
LutonDrawLeyton Orient

2.12

47%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

3.60

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

32%

Luton

3.17

21%

Leyton Orient

4.87

Win to Nil

15%

Luton

6.72

6%

Leyton Orient

17.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 7.5 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.2 11.8 6.8 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 8.1 9.4 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.3 4.9 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.583
λ Away (xG) 1.155
Total xG 2.738
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.239
Luton attack strength 1.091
Luton defence strength 0.983
Leyton Orient attack strength 0.948
Leyton Orient defence strength 0.986
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46