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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Mon 29 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Kenilworth Road

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Luton Win

45%

Luton

2.24

24%

Draw

4.17

31%

Leyton Orient

3.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Luton xG

Total xG

3.01

1.35

Leyton Orient xG

45%
24%
31%
LutonDrawLeyton Orient

2.24

45%

Home win

4.17

24%

Draw

3.19

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

26%

Luton

3.86

19%

Leyton Orient

5.24

Win to Nil

12%

Luton

8.62

6%

Leyton Orient

16.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 6.7 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 8.2 11.1 7.5 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.8 9.2 6.2 2.8 0.9 0.3
3 3.7 5.1 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.657
λ Away (xG) 1.350
Total xG 3.007
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.149
Luton attack strength 0.992
Luton defence strength 1.022
Leyton Orient attack strength 1.150
Leyton Orient defence strength 1.245
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 68