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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Tue 17 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Kenilworth Road

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Luton Win

41%

Luton

2.41

26%

Draw

3.90

33%

Exeter City

3.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Luton xG

Total xG

2.71

1.26

Exeter City xG

41%
26%
33%
LutonDrawExeter City

2.41

41%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

3.04

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

28%

Luton

3.54

23%

Exeter City

4.27

Win to Nil

12%

Luton

8.53

8%

Exeter City

12.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 8.4 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.6 12.1 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 8.8 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.4 4.3 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.451
λ Away (xG) 1.264
Total xG 2.715
League avg home goals 1.406
League avg away goals 1.170
Luton attack strength 1.052
Luton defence strength 1.068
Exeter City attack strength 1.011
Exeter City defence strength 0.981
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 83