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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Kenilworth Road

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Luton Win

42%

Luton

2.40

29%

Draw

3.44

29%

Doncaster

3.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Luton xG

Total xG

2.17

0.96

Doncaster xG

42%
29%
29%
LutonDrawDoncaster

2.40

42%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

3.42

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.30

57%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

38%

Luton

2.62

30%

Doncaster

3.35

Win to Nil

16%

Luton

6.29

9%

Doncaster

11.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 11.0 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.8 13.3 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.3 8.0 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.4 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.210
λ Away (xG) 0.964
Total xG 2.174
League avg home goals 1.425
League avg away goals 1.072
Luton attack strength 0.750
Luton defence strength 1.163
Doncaster attack strength 0.773
Doncaster defence strength 1.132
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 8 / 9