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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Luton Win
39%
2.58
35%
2.86
26%
3.79
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
20.0%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
18.3%
Home win
0 – 1
13.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.91
Luton xG
Total xG
1.61
0.69
Cardiff xG
LutonDrawCardiff
2.58
39%
Home win
2.86
35%
Draw
3.79
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
48%
Over 1.5
2.08
52%
Under 1.5
1.92
22%
Over 2.5
4.55
78%
Under 2.5
1.28
8%
Over 3.5
12.50
92%
Under 3.5
1.09
2%
Over 4.5
50.00
98%
Under 4.5
1.02
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
30%
BTTS Yes
3.33
70%
BTTS No
1.43
Clean Sheet
50%
2.00
40%
2.49
Win to Nil
19%
5.17
11%
9.44
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.0 | 13.9 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 18.3 | 12.7 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 8.3 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.912
λ Away (xG)
0.695
Total xG
1.607
League avg home goals
1.313
League avg away goals
1.069
Luton attack strength
0.833
Luton defence strength
0.882
Cardiff attack strength
0.737
Cardiff defence strength
0.834
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
4 / 4