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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Luton Win
37%
2.68
31%
3.26
32%
3.12
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.1%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.5%
Draw
0 – 0
13.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.06
Luton xG
Total xG
2.01
0.95
Bolton xG
LutonDrawBolton
2.68
37%
Home win
3.26
31%
Draw
3.12
32%
Away win
Goals Markets
60%
Over 1.5
1.67
40%
Under 1.5
2.50
33%
Over 2.5
3.03
67%
Under 2.5
1.49
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.49
60%
BTTS No
1.67
Clean Sheet
38%
2.60
35%
2.88
Win to Nil
14%
6.97
11%
8.99
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.4 | 12.8 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.1 | 13.5 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 7.1 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.057
λ Away (xG)
0.955
Total xG
2.012
League avg home goals
1.322
League avg away goals
1.070
Luton attack strength
0.711
Luton defence strength
1.021
Bolton attack strength
0.875
Bolton defence strength
1.125
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
17 / 62