Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Fri 1 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Kenilworth Road

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Luton Win

41%

Luton

2.44

27%

Draw

3.65

32%

AFC Wimbledon

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Luton xG

Total xG

2.57

1.19

AFC Wimbledon xG

41%
27%
32%
LutonDrawAFC Wimbledon

2.44

41%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

31%

Luton

3.27

25%

AFC Wimbledon

4.00

Win to Nil

13%

Luton

7.97

8%

AFC Wimbledon

12.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 9.1 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 10.6 12.6 7.4 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.3 8.7 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.4 4.0 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.387
λ Away (xG) 1.185
Total xG 2.572
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.213
Luton attack strength 0.850
Luton defence strength 1.150
AFC Wimbledon attack strength 0.850
AFC Wimbledon defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 0