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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

12:30

Venue

LNER stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lincoln Win

40%

Lincoln

2.48

25%

Draw

3.95

34%

Stevenage

2.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Lincoln xG

Total xG

2.79

1.33

Stevenage xG

40%
25%
34%
LincolnDrawStevenage

2.48

40%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

2.91

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

27%

Lincoln

3.77

23%

Stevenage

4.30

Win to Nil

11%

Lincoln

9.37

8%

Stevenage

12.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 8.2 5.4 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.0 11.9 7.9 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 8.7 5.8 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 3.2 4.2 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.458
λ Away (xG) 1.328
Total xG 2.786
League avg home goals 1.349
League avg away goals 1.120
Lincoln attack strength 1.101
Lincoln defence strength 1.037
Stevenage attack strength 1.144
Stevenage defence strength 0.981
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 56