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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

LNER Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lincoln Win

44%

Lincoln

2.28

34%

Draw

2.97

22%

Stevenage

4.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

19.5%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

19.1%

Draw

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Lincoln xG

Total xG

1.66

0.64

Stevenage xG

44%
34%
22%
LincolnDrawStevenage

2.28

44%

Home win

2.97

34%

Draw

4.46

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

49%

Over 1.5

2.04

51%

Under 1.5

1.96

23%

Over 2.5

4.35

77%

Under 2.5

1.30

9%

Over 3.5

11.11

91%

Under 3.5

1.10

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

30%

BTTS Yes

3.32

70%

BTTS No

1.43

Clean Sheet

53%

Lincoln

1.89

36%

Stevenage

2.77

Win to Nil

23%

Lincoln

4.30

8%

Stevenage

12.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 19.1 12.1 3.9 0.8 0.1
1 19.5 12.4 3.9 0.8 0.1
2 9.9 6.3 2.0 0.4 0.1
3 3.4 2.1 0.7 0.1
4 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.020
λ Away (xG) 0.636
Total xG 1.656
League avg home goals 1.277
League avg away goals 1.174
Lincoln attack strength 1.010
Lincoln defence strength 0.932
Stevenage attack strength 0.581
Stevenage defence strength 0.791
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 68