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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

12:30

Venue

LNER Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lincoln Win

46%

Lincoln

2.16

24%

Draw

4.24

30%

Reading

3.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Lincoln xG

Total xG

3.05

1.34

Reading xG

46%
24%
30%
LincolnDrawReading

2.16

46%

Home win

4.24

24%

Draw

3.33

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

26%

Lincoln

3.82

18%

Reading

5.56

Win to Nil

12%

Lincoln

8.23

5%

Reading

18.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 6.3 4.2 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 8.1 10.8 7.2 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.3 6.2 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 4.0 5.3 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.716
λ Away (xG) 1.339
Total xG 3.055
League avg home goals 1.294
League avg away goals 1.138
Lincoln attack strength 1.065
Lincoln defence strength 1.045
Reading attack strength 1.126
Reading defence strength 1.245
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 65