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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Tue 17 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

LNER stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lincoln Win

64%

Lincoln

1.57

22%

Draw

4.58

15%

Northampton

6.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.6%

Home win

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Lincoln xG

Total xG

2.62

0.76

Northampton xG

64%
22%
15%
LincolnDrawNorthampton

1.57

64%

Home win

4.58

22%

Draw

6.83

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

47%

Lincoln

2.13

16%

Northampton

6.42

Win to Nil

30%

Lincoln

3.36

2%

Northampton

43.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 5.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.6 10.3 3.9 1.0 0.2
2 12.6 9.6 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 7.8 5.9 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 3.6 2.8 1.0 0.3
5 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.859
λ Away (xG) 0.758
Total xG 2.617
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.151
Lincoln attack strength 1.269
Lincoln defence strength 0.905
Northampton attack strength 0.728
Northampton defence strength 1.054
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 77 / 77