Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

LNER stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lincoln Win

40%

Lincoln

2.53

26%

Draw

3.90

35%

Luton

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Lincoln xG

Total xG

2.73

1.31

Luton xG

40%
26%
35%
LincolnDrawLuton

2.53

40%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

27%

Lincoln

3.72

24%

Luton

4.13

Win to Nil

11%

Lincoln

9.39

8%

Luton

11.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 8.6 5.6 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.2 12.1 8.0 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.6 8.6 5.6 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.1 4.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.418
λ Away (xG) 1.313
Total xG 2.731
League avg home goals 1.427
League avg away goals 1.062
Lincoln attack strength 1.097
Lincoln defence strength 1.079
Luton attack strength 1.145
Luton defence strength 0.906
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 7