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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

LNER stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lincoln Win

56%

Lincoln

1.79

25%

Draw

4.06

19%

Exeter City

5.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

Lincoln xG

Total xG

2.48

0.85

Exeter City xG

56%
25%
19%
LincolnDrawExeter City

1.79

56%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

5.15

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

43%

Lincoln

2.33

20%

Exeter City

5.11

Win to Nil

24%

Lincoln

4.17

4%

Exeter City

26.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 7.1 3.0 0.8 0.2
1 13.7 11.6 4.9 1.4 0.3
2 11.2 9.5 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 6.1 5.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 2.5 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.631
λ Away (xG) 0.847
Total xG 2.478
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.118
Lincoln attack strength 1.201
Lincoln defence strength 1.017
Exeter City attack strength 0.745
Exeter City defence strength 0.995
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56