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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 22 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

LNER Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lincoln Win

58%

Lincoln

1.73

25%

Draw

4.05

18%

Exeter City

5.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Lincoln xG

Total xG

2.51

0.82

Exeter City xG

58%
25%
18%
LincolnDrawExeter City

1.73

58%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

5.69

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

44%

Lincoln

2.27

18%

Exeter City

5.44

Win to Nil

25%

Lincoln

3.93

3%

Exeter City

30.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 6.6 2.7 0.7 0.2
1 13.7 11.2 4.6 1.3 0.3
2 11.6 9.5 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 6.6 5.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 2.8 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.693
λ Away (xG) 0.820
Total xG 2.513
League avg home goals 1.267
League avg away goals 1.122
Lincoln attack strength 1.251
Lincoln defence strength 0.937
Exeter City attack strength 0.780
Exeter City defence strength 1.067
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 83 / 82