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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 39

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

St James Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wrexham Win

34%

Exeter City

2.95

28%

Draw

3.61

38%

Wrexham

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Exeter City xG

Total xG

2.51

1.30

Wrexham xG

34%
28%
38%
Exeter CityDrawWrexham

2.95

34%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

27%

Exeter City

3.67

30%

Wrexham

3.34

Win to Nil

9%

Exeter City

10.85

12%

Wrexham

8.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 10.6 6.9 3.0 1.0 0.3
1 9.8 12.8 8.3 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 5.9 7.7 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.4 3.1 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.205
λ Away (xG) 1.301
Total xG 2.506
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.096
Exeter City attack strength 1.067
Exeter City defence strength 1.282
Wrexham attack strength 0.926
Wrexham defence strength 0.887
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 83 / 38