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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 11 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

St James Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Exeter City Win

39%

Exeter City

2.59

26%

Draw

3.90

36%

Reading

2.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Exeter City xG

Total xG

2.73

1.33

Reading xG

39%
26%
36%
Exeter CityDrawReading

2.59

39%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

2.79

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

26%

Exeter City

3.80

25%

Reading

4.04

Win to Nil

10%

Exeter City

9.85

9%

Reading

11.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 8.7 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 9.1 12.1 8.1 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.3 8.5 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.0 3.9 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.396
λ Away (xG) 1.335
Total xG 2.731
League avg home goals 1.340
League avg away goals 1.133
Exeter City attack strength 0.977
Exeter City defence strength 1.098
Reading attack strength 1.073
Reading defence strength 1.067
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 56