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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

St James Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Exeter City Win

62%

Exeter City

1.62

23%

Draw

4.27

15%

Port Vale

6.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.2%

Home win

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Exeter City xG

Total xG

2.40

0.69

Port Vale xG

62%
23%
15%
Exeter CityDrawPort Vale

1.62

62%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

6.77

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.44

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

50%

Exeter City

2.00

18%

Port Vale

5.52

Win to Nil

31%

Exeter City

3.24

3%

Port Vale

37.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 6.3 2.2 0.5 0.1
1 15.5 10.7 3.7 0.9 0.1
2 13.2 9.2 3.2 0.7 0.1
3 7.5 5.2 1.8 0.4 0.1
4 3.2 2.2 0.8 0.2
5 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.708
λ Away (xG) 0.693
Total xG 2.401
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.025
Exeter City attack strength 1.193
Exeter City defence strength 1.056
Port Vale attack strength 0.640
Port Vale defence strength 1.009
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 7