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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

St James Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Exeter City Win

53%

Exeter City

1.90

23%

Draw

4.30

24%

Peterborough

4.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Exeter City xG

Total xG

2.91

1.13

Peterborough xG

53%
23%
24%
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough

1.90

53%

Home win

4.30

23%

Draw

4.16

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

32%

Exeter City

3.10

17%

Peterborough

5.95

Win to Nil

17%

Exeter City

5.88

4%

Peterborough

24.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 6.1 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 9.7 10.9 6.2 2.3 0.7 0.1
2 8.6 9.8 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.1 5.8 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.3 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.784
λ Away (xG) 1.130
Total xG 2.914
League avg home goals 1.349
League avg away goals 1.023
Exeter City attack strength 1.142
Exeter City defence strength 1.165
Peterborough attack strength 0.948
Peterborough defence strength 1.158
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51