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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

12:30

Venue

St James Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Exeter City Win

56%

Exeter City

1.78

22%

Draw

4.57

22%

Mansfield Town

4.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.97

Exeter City xG

Total xG

3.12

1.16

Mansfield Town xG

56%
22%
22%
Exeter CityDrawMansfield Town

1.78

56%

Home win

4.57

22%

Draw

4.53

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

31%

Exeter City

3.18

14%

Mansfield Town

7.13

Win to Nil

18%

Exeter City

5.68

3%

Mansfield Town

32.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 5.1 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 8.7 10.0 5.8 2.2 0.6 0.2
2 8.5 9.8 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 5.6 6.4 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.7 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.965
λ Away (xG) 1.158
Total xG 3.123
League avg home goals 1.359
League avg away goals 1.086
Exeter City attack strength 1.238
Exeter City defence strength 1.039
Mansfield Town attack strength 1.026
Mansfield Town defence strength 1.167
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48