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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Tue 11 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

St James Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Exeter City Win

40%

Exeter City

2.53

24%

Draw

4.12

36%

Mansfield Town

2.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Exeter City xG

Total xG

3.29

1.60

Mansfield Town xG

40%
24%
36%
Exeter CityDrawMansfield Town

2.53

40%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

2.76

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.91

Clean Sheet

20%

Exeter City

4.97

19%

Mansfield Town

5.38

Win to Nil

8%

Exeter City

12.56

7%

Mansfield Town

14.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 6.0 4.8 2.6 1.0 0.3
1 6.3 10.1 8.1 4.3 1.7 0.6
2 5.3 8.5 6.8 3.6 1.5 0.5
3 3.0 4.8 3.8 2.0 0.8 0.3
4 1.3 2.0 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.683
λ Away (xG) 1.603
Total xG 3.286
League avg home goals 1.240
League avg away goals 1.120
Exeter City attack strength 1.075
Exeter City defence strength 1.395
Mansfield Town attack strength 1.026
Mansfield Town defence strength 1.262
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 80 / 35