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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Exeter City Win
57%
1.75
24%
4.25
19%
5.22
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
12.5%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.2%
Draw
2 – 0
10.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.74
Exeter City xG
Total xG
2.63
0.89
Luton xG
Exeter CityDrawLuton
1.75
57%
Home win
4.25
24%
Draw
5.22
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
49%
Over 2.5
2.04
51%
Under 2.5
1.96
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.05
51%
BTTS No
1.95
Clean Sheet
41%
2.44
18%
5.68
Win to Nil
23%
4.27
3%
29.63
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 12.5 | 11.2 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.9 | 9.7 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.3 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.737
λ Away (xG)
0.894
Total xG
2.631
League avg home goals
1.339
League avg away goals
1.137
Exeter City attack strength
1.032
Exeter City defence strength
0.765
Luton attack strength
1.029
Luton defence strength
1.257
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
68 / 23