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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

13:00

Venue

St James Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Exeter City Win

37%

Exeter City

2.68

28%

Draw

3.63

35%

Burton Albion

2.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Exeter City xG

Total xG

2.44

1.20

Burton Albion xG

37%
28%
35%
Exeter CityDrawBurton Albion

2.68

37%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

2.84

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

30%

Exeter City

3.31

29%

Burton Albion

3.46

Win to Nil

11%

Exeter City

8.88

10%

Burton Albion

9.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 10.4 6.3 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 10.8 13.0 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.7 8.1 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.8 3.3 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.242
λ Away (xG) 1.198
Total xG 2.440
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.129
Exeter City attack strength 0.941
Exeter City defence strength 1.311
Burton Albion attack strength 0.809
Burton Albion defence strength 1.029
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 88 / 87