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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Exeter City Win
42%
2.38
24%
4.18
34%
2.94
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.0%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.9%
Home win
1 – 2
7.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.62
Exeter City xG
Total xG
3.05
1.43
Bolton xG
Exeter CityDrawBolton
2.38
42%
Home win
4.18
24%
Draw
2.94
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
36%
Over 3.5
2.78
64%
Under 3.5
1.56
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.64
39%
BTTS No
2.57
Clean Sheet
24%
4.20
20%
5.05
Win to Nil
10%
9.98
7%
14.85
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7 | 6.8 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.6 | 11.0 | 7.9 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 8.9 | 6.4 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.619
λ Away (xG)
1.434
Total xG
3.053
League avg home goals
1.277
League avg away goals
1.174
Exeter City attack strength
1.086
Exeter City defence strength
1.174
Bolton attack strength
1.041
Bolton defence strength
1.167
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
69 / 68