Exeter City vs Barnsley – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Barnsley Win
32%
3.09
30%
3.29
37%
2.69
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.8%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.5%
Draw
0 – 0
13.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.97
Exeter City xG
Total xG
2.04
1.07
Barnsley xG
Exeter CityDrawBarnsley
3.09
32%
Home win
3.29
30%
Draw
2.69
37%
Away win
Goals Markets
61%
Over 1.5
1.64
39%
Under 1.5
2.56
33%
Over 2.5
3.03
67%
Under 2.5
1.49
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.45
59%
BTTS No
1.69
Clean Sheet
34%
2.91
38%
2.65
Win to Nil
11%
8.99
14%
7.12
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.0 | 13.8 | 7.4 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 12.6 | 13.5 | 7.2 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.975
λ Away (xG)
1.068
Total xG
2.043
League avg home goals
1.304
League avg away goals
1.097
Exeter City attack strength
0.802
Exeter City defence strength
0.921
Barnsley attack strength
1.057
Barnsley defence strength
0.932
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
64 / 65