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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Stockport County cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Doncaster.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Stockport County beat Doncaster 0-2 at Eco-Power Stadium, Regular Season - 19, in the League One. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Doncaster 1.32 xG and Stockport County 1.48 xG, a combined 2.80. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Doncaster fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Doncaster attack 0.95 / defence 1.18 against Stockport County attack 1.16 / defence 1.06, drawn from 18/63 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Doncaster 34% | Draw 25% | Stockport County 41%, with Stockport County to win its most likely call at 41%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 53%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Doncaster 53%, Stockport County 45%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Doncaster's trading profile (64 games, 32 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not.

Stockport County's trading profile (64 games, 32 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Doncaster 1.66 PPG, Stockport County 1.80 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Stockport County win broke the near-deadlock. Doncaster (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.56 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 1.03 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Stockport County (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.06 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights