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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

The Valley

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charlton Win

46%

Charlton

2.18

25%

Draw

3.93

29%

Reading

3.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Charlton xG

Total xG

2.68

1.15

Reading xG

46%
25%
29%
CharltonDrawReading

2.18

46%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

3.49

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

32%

Charlton

3.16

22%

Reading

4.60

Win to Nil

15%

Charlton

6.89

6%

Reading

16.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 7.9 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.5 12.1 7.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.2 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.1 4.7 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.526
λ Away (xG) 1.151
Total xG 2.677
League avg home goals 1.277
League avg away goals 1.174
Charlton attack strength 0.963
Charlton defence strength 0.897
Reading attack strength 1.094
Reading defence strength 1.241
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 69