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Charlton vs Mansfield Town – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

The Valley

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charlton Win

43%

Charlton

2.32

27%

Draw

3.72

30%

Mansfield Town

3.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Charlton xG

Total xG

2.47

1.10

Mansfield Town xG

43%
27%
30%
CharltonDrawMansfield Town

2.32

43%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

3.33

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

33%

Charlton

3.00

25%

Mansfield Town

3.94

Win to Nil

14%

Charlton

6.96

8%

Mansfield Town

13.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 9.3 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.6 12.7 7.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 8.7 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.6 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.2 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.370
λ Away (xG) 1.098
Total xG 2.468
League avg home goals 1.304
League avg away goals 1.097
Charlton attack strength 0.962
Charlton defence strength 1.095
Mansfield Town attack strength 0.914
Mansfield Town defence strength 1.092
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 17