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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Tue 4 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

The Valley

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charlton Win

47%

Charlton

2.15

29%

Draw

3.46

24%

Barnsley

4.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Charlton xG

Total xG

2.22

0.89

Barnsley xG

47%
29%
24%
CharltonDrawBarnsley

2.15

47%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

4.09

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

41%

Charlton

2.43

26%

Barnsley

3.79

Win to Nil

19%

Charlton

5.20

6%

Barnsley

15.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 9.6 4.3 1.3 0.3
1 14.5 12.8 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.7 8.6 3.8 1.1 0.2
3 4.3 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.333
λ Away (xG) 0.886
Total xG 2.219
League avg home goals 1.286
League avg away goals 1.186
Charlton attack strength 1.053
Charlton defence strength 0.685
Barnsley attack strength 1.090
Barnsley defence strength 0.985
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 79 / 80