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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Cardiff Win
61%
1.63
22%
4.63
17%
5.90
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
11.4%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
11.0%
Home win
1 – 1
10.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.93
Cardiff xG
Total xG
2.83
0.90
Port Vale xG
CardiffDrawPort Vale
1.63
61%
Home win
4.63
22%
Draw
5.90
17%
Away win
Goals Markets
77%
Over 1.5
1.30
23%
Under 1.5
4.35
54%
Over 2.5
1.85
46%
Under 2.5
2.17
31%
Over 3.5
3.23
69%
Under 3.5
1.45
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.97
49%
BTTS No
2.03
Clean Sheet
41%
2.46
15%
6.88
Win to Nil
25%
4.00
2%
40.54
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 11.4 | 10.3 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.0 | 9.9 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.1 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.928
λ Away (xG)
0.900
Total xG
2.828
League avg home goals
1.363
League avg away goals
1.170
Cardiff attack strength
1.125
Cardiff defence strength
0.946
Port Vale attack strength
0.812
Port Vale defence strength
1.258
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
43 / 42